BECAUSE STATE HOUSING POLICY
FAVORS LUXURY OVER AFFORDABILITY,
REPLACES PLANNING WITH PROFITS,
IGNORES HAZARDS AND THE ENVIRONMENT,
AND SETS UP CITIES TO FAIL
From Left :
Dick Spotswood: Opinion Columnist, Marin IJ
Eileen Burke: San Anselmo City Council Member
Carolyn Lenert: former San Rafael Fire Commissioner
Amy Kalish: Citizen Marin / WAKE UP CA
Pat Eklund, Novato *City Council member
Michael Rex: Architect
Susan Kirsch: Catalysts for Local Control founder
Not shown:
Frank Egger, Fairfax City Council Member
Full video here:
https://vimeo.com/1112780698/90061b7a4c?&login=true#
The state has a vision of California -- and Marin -- that was not shared with the voters. This site has a lot of information on how this happened, what to expect, and how to work together to put the brakes on it. Current policy is a free market solution in no way responsible to the communities that will be affected.
The state demands 2.5 million more residences by 2031, regardless of each city’s actual needs. Why? The California Department of Finance refuted the numbers in 2023 — projections show the population will not grow 7+ million by 2031; it‘s projected almost flat through 2060. That’s not due to lack of housing. It’s due to our aging population, declining birth rates, economic realities, higher outmigration, and lower inmigration.
In other words, the mandates are based on “aspirations,” not need.
But the state isn’t backing off the outrageous numbers, instead supporting “ad hoc” methodology that intentionally over burdens cities . See the blog post “Think those RHNA numbers are based on something scientific?” below.
Patrick Condon was a master planner for Vancouver, here he explicitly articulates how increasing density without affordability only further inflates urban land values to the benefit of speculators,
Patrick M. Condon argues that the Broadway Plan is false and shortsighted, as it assumes that adding new housing units will lead to affordability, which is not supported by evidence.
We Zoned for Density and Got Higher House Prices: Supply and Price Effects of Upzoning over 20 Years
https://doi.org/10.1080/08111146.2022.2124966
AN ALPHA IN AFFORDABLE HOUSING?
TonyDutzik
The Illusion of YIMBY/Abundance
https://utahvanguard.medium.com/the-illusion-of-yimby-abundance-0ac938f769fa
Its main finding is that zoning reforms, introduced over the last decade and a half, which loosen restrictions on development, are associated with a very small increase in housing supply, but not with a reduction in housing costs or with greater availability of lower-cost units.
"The county had to reduce the number of sites it was reserving for people with lower and moderate incomes so it could meet the State's target for producing homes for people with above-moderate incomes. The State would not allow us to carry a deficit in the above-moderate income category."
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